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Technology Stocks : Novell (NOVL) dirt cheap, good buy?

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To: Alomex who wrote (25518)2/18/1999 7:29:00 PM
From: Villemure  Read Replies (1) of 42771
 
Alomex, I believe that you are making a mistake by confusing the desktop and the network.

On the network, different technology is needed and different rules apply. The "average user" does not buy the network. The network system must be more reliable, manageable, and transparent to the user; otherwise, the business just can't work. Plus, the network is much harder to rip and replace.

The superior Mac interface and file system, from an IS standpoint, is a luxury and doesn't outweigh the advantage of all the PC applications. The superiority of NetWare over NT, from an IS standpoint, is more a matter of urgency. How can you keep track of all 5,000 PCs and 500 new ones this year with the same staff and not much extra budget? NT runs more server-based applications, but Novell is making a good case that you can have your NT apps and manage them too if you blend in NetWare servers and NDS.

I think you are also overlooking that an increasingly larger piece of Novell's business will come from NDS and applications linked to NDS. These products will be designed to flourish in a world in which NetWare, UNIX, and NT all continue to sell very well. That is the real world. If you look at Novell this way, as a developer of specialized, cross-platform services and applications, then you see once again that it is not a zero-sum game.

Novell does not have to become another Microsoft to make most of us investors happy. An important niche player in the Internet (the niche is directory, not application serving as you indicated in your earlier post) with steady growth continuing over the next few years will be good enough for me.

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