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Technology Stocks : AUTOHOME, Inc
ATHM 25.20+1.4%3:59 PM EST
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To: VIXandMore who wrote (5541)2/18/1999 7:42:00 PM
From: ahhaha  Read Replies (1) of 29970
 
The answer is a 95% accuracy. A thread becomes all abuzz as the thread stock rises, but you don't go short until the buzzing cools. You can run a moving average of posts/day, normalize it against moving average of price, and go short when the buzz rate inflexes. By that time the stock is already correcting but is usually in a consolidation of the correction. When the stock reaches the downtrend, if it exists, you limit order short in. This technique doesn't work so well when the total thread posts exceeds say, 10,000, because there is too much white noise. (OTs)
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