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Politics : Ask Michael Burke

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To: accountclosed who wrote (48049)2/20/1999 12:38:00 PM
From: BGR  Read Replies (1) of 132070
 
Antoine,

It has it's use for me. Only in an inefficient market can the average investor hope to beat the risk-adjusted return of the indices as (s)he may have superior information or interpretation. But not in a market like this IMO. So, indexing is superior to other investment strategies in this situation, as is clear from the past few years' market data.

The central tenet of being a contrarian is that the contratian is smarter than the aggregate market. Well, the EMH implies that when there is efficiency in the market, the contrarian is more often wrong than right (but not in an inefficient market).

As for shorting, the funds can always short the futures.

-BGR.

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