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Non-Tech : NIFTY NINE IN NINETY NINE PLUS ONE

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To: Arthur Radley who wrote (436)2/21/1999 3:01:00 PM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (3) of 613
 
<biotechs are in for a rebound in 1999, Well THEY HAVEN'T FOUND MY
STOCKS. YET!>

Yes, we had a hell of a nice bounce off the "tax selling" season in most of my stocks... luckily I was overweighted and sold quite a bit out, boy have they come in fast. I've given back about 1/3 of my "bottom feeding" profits even though I sold quite a bit. IT IS CERTAINLY NOT CLEAR TO ME THAT WALL STREET HAS TAKEN A MORE POSITIVE STANCE TO THE SECTOR IN '99 DESPITE STATEMENTS IN THE PRESS BY NOT UNINTERESTED PARTIES.

< How do you think the market will react to the agreement that the world economies aren't doing that well and Russia still poses a major problem>

I'm much more worried about another round of health care reform talk than this type of "macro stuff"... hell just buy some Microsoft puts to hedge yourself against this stuff!

<This overall market makes me nervous. >

This is exactly my quandry... I don't want to miss the move that I believe is imminent, but I'd love some of the "easy money" that would come along with a market sell off and the cheaper prices in our sector that would undoubtedly result. Lets remember (not in order of importance except first):

-demographics, need we say more about the bullishness for health care to come from this one fact?
-new more pragmatic approach at the FDA.
-outlook for the sector based on science coming to fruition.
-the appetite of big pharma will only get larger and larger... this like demographics is JUST STARTING. I predict that 1/2 of us will be out of our stocks in this sector, talking instead about high valuations before this factor is even in full swing a few years down the road.
-more good reasons out there?
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