Collins puts NOVL on buy list
Collins Sees Blue Skies Ahead (NOVL) Thursday, February 18, 1999
Legendary growth stock investor Jim Collins' model portfolios saw double-digit gains in each of the past three months, and he sees "plenty of indications that there will be more gains to come." These include the strong economy (GDP at 5.6% for Q4 98), inflation at a 40-year bottom, and the lowest unemployment rate in a generation boosting consumer confidence. He expects the economy will grow "faster in the first quarter than most economists anticipate," and that will create strong earnings for corporate America.
But Collins sees some clouds in the blue sky. For instance, he says most of his recommended stocks are "fairly to slightly overvalued." He cautions that the market will need a rest (read: correction) after three months of 14%+ returns, a rate that the average small stock returns in a year. And though Collins says the worst may be over in Asia, he believes investors underestimate the threat in Brazil. "It seems the government giveth, and giveth too much in the way of pensions, and cannot take it back," he says.
"What should you do as an investor?" he asks. "Do not panic if any of the above causes a decline in (my recommended) stocks. Treat it as a buying opportunity." Collins goes on to list his 12 favorite stocks for current purchase; the list includes Novell (NOVL), MCI Worldcom (WCOM), Sepracor (SEPR) and Sun Microsystems (SUNW).
For more on Jim Collins' recommendation see "Investment Outlook & Strategy," February 1999, OTC Insight. Jim Collins focuses on the inefficiently priced OTC market using analytical techniques to select stocks and create portfolios.
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