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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
AMZN 226.99-1.1%3:59 PM EST

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To: GST who wrote (42356)2/24/1999 9:12:00 PM
From: Sarmad Y. Hermiz  Read Replies (3) of 164684
 
GST,

Are you into economics or international finance or something erudite like that ?

I look at that stuff, but I don't understand it. Here is what I think matters.

People tend to repeat the behaviour that rewards them, and to eschew that which hurts them. Some don't follow that model, but they go broke and are not heard from again.

I don't look for a big run-up, because everyone who bought on Jan 8 feels like an idiot now. They will not do it again in mass numbers. They won't have the amount of money to do it with to the same extent.

So the buyers got burnt. They will not be eager to buy. When they buy their finger will be itching to sell. Look at each of the five spikes this year. If you were 1 day late in selling, you lost ALL your gain, and if you procrastinated some more, you lost a lot of your principal.

And with today as another damper on enthusiasm, I think we will not see amzn at 130 or 140 on this run. I think the major hype will come in Q1 report, where seq rev growth is expected. I don't want to be short at that time.

I only covered 100 out of 800 short today. They were shorted at 115 and 120.
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