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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum

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To: Thomas Haegin who wrote (1)	2/25/1999 10:32:00 AM
From: Ken Katz	Read Replies (1) of 9980

Japanese stockmarket is down 80% from its highs and continue to go down for more than 10 years. It does not quite fit a classical pattern of a 20%-30% bear market for 3-5 years. Something else is happening there. 10 years of straight decline -- not very optimistic view for the guaranteed long-term growth advocates. Of course each country is different. However, Japanese stockmarket, and their economy are the 2nd largest and most important in the world. It's not 1930s -- it's happening right now. Why should we assume the US stockmarket is immune from such a development? My concern is the validity of the idea that any long-term buy and hold investor in the US stock market will be rewarded eventually.

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