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Strategies & Market Trends : Rande Is . . . HOME

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To: Bucky Katt who wrote (3846)2/25/1999 1:54:00 PM
From: Rande Is  Read Replies (1) of 57584
 
There are certainly buy ops in panic. . .but the problem with Japanese bond selling is the shear volume of bonds they hold. . .they can't just sell all at once, or they won't get a decent price. . .so if they are comitted to a sell-off. . .1. what is the depth of their comittment [sounds pretty serious as you describe] and 2. how long will it take for them to complete their sale?

I am mostly concerned about the number of days or weeks of such sell-offs. . .because this can be mis-translated as overall market weakness and become a self-fulfilling prophecy that COULD start a bear market of sorts. Those long slow days where nothing moves north works against the confidence of long-term investors. . .where market stability is.

I believe, personally that we have bull and bear markets co-existing.
The S and P Small and Mid-cap performance since Jan. 1 has been miserable. Just a long steady decline. I think the lure of internet stock price gains has much to do with declining stock price in the small and mid-caps.

I think the reason is that fund managers are more confident in returns that Inets bring than they ever were before. So when it comes to the more aggressive mutual funds, they could be ignoring the countless issues that make up these indexes. . .and opting for the more risky [but not as risky as last year] Inets. . . and that explains why the decline began the beginning of January [when they turnover their inventory], while the Inets. . .even the small ones have rocketed in the same period. It is a fact that many funds that never would have considered holding Inets, suddenly hold them.

It is certainly much to sort. . .and my brain says, "feed me."

Rande Is
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