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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation
CRSP 60.07-3.1%12:12 PM EST

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To: LLCF who wrote (18)2/28/1999 10:46:00 PM
From: scaram(o)uche  Read Replies (2) of 52153
 
"Wait"??

O.K., makes sense for MLNM, but..... try this one.....

BTRN..... current market cap, $20.4 million. Cash in hand at end of last quarter, $20 million. Research premium relative to cash at end of last quarter....... approximately $0.4 million.

XenoMune..... controlling patents, IMO, for at least a portion of the art, including PERV. Substantial technical hurdles which, to my knowledge, may never be overcome. Project supported by Novartis, royalties to BTRN of about 5% (my estimate). Market approximately $4 billion??

AlloMune for graft-versus-lymphoma/leukemia..... we'll see.

AlloMune for solid organ transplantation...... not partnered, IND approved. Estimate of market is $1.4 billion, but may grow like a mushroom in peet, given success.

MEDI 507..... phase II for GvH, phase I for psoriasis. 10% "true" royalty from MEDI, minimum (but I assume maximum too.... that is, it is double digit, and that's all we know). Controlling patents with big-time life span. I estimate the MEDI indications (GvH and autoimmunity, with solid organ transplantation back-burnered) to be $3 billion.

So...... all of you gluttons..... Jeffrey?? David??....... that want to contribute to a valuation thread (yikes!)...... what's it worth? :-)
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