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Technology Stocks : 3DFX
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To: Marketeer who wrote (10918)3/1/1999 4:46:00 AM
From: Chip Anderson  Read Replies (2) of 16960
 
It's interesting to see how different people can look at similar data and come out with wildly different conclusions.

32-bit rendering is in the "nice to have but OEMs won't pay extra for it" category.

DVD decoding is a problem area that needs to be addressed.

"Full AGP support" is a BS marketing term. Until Intel launches its AGP4x motherboards (which just got delayed again BTW), Voodoo3 has as much "AGP support" as everyone else out there. And Tony Tomasi told me personally at Comdex that 3Dfx would have an AGP 4x board out in time for the Intel launch.

As for the bottom half of your post, you are making the same mistake that everyone who evaluates a leading high-tech company makes - namely assuming perfect execution by the competition (S3, etc) and no response from the leader (3Dfx) in the event a credible threat does emerge. History doesn't support those assumptions.

Here's the longer-term picture: nVidia, ATi, S3 and the others have just finished a grueling marathon to catch up with the industry leading Voodoo2. In some areas then even managed to pass the V2 (color depth) not in others (SLI mode). But, unfortunately for them, 3Dfx wasn't waiting around at the finish line of that marathon. Instead, 3Dfx started running a totally new marathon - namely creating the real next generation chip. The current bet on the table is: Who will win the race to the next generation? I'm betting on the company that's been working full-tilt on the problem for the past year now. Not the ones that are only now beginning to think about the issues.

Chip
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