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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)

CSCO 73.99

+3.1%

3:59 PM EST

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To: Bob Davis who wrote (23210)	3/1/1999 6:37:00 PM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (2) of 77398

Bob, you can do a discounted cash flow analysis on Cisco and Msft until you are blue in the face, but, what PE are you going to multiply this by? All of these programs depend upon underlying premises, and, if we disagree on these premises, we will always come out with a different valuation. Every Major Gorilla in the History of the stock market has been considered "overvalued" during its rise, by people using methods like yours. People who use your methods do well, from what I can tell. They just don't end up making money on the "high Flyers". Nothing wrong with that, but you lose the big movers along the way, IMO.

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