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Technology Stocks : CrossKeys Systems Corp [CKEY and CKY/TSE]

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To: Joseph McKeown who wrote (436)3/2/1999 7:35:00 PM
From: Charles Zapata  Read Replies (2) of 792
 
>More importantly, besides the short term financial comings and oings, does the company have key technology that cannot be easily emulated by a competitor or a knowledgeable customer? If the answer is yes I am willing to stay in. Is there an expert out there who can make an honest assessment?

Crosskeys has two lines of business: SLA products and custom NMS solutions.

The SLA productline (Resolve) provides Service Level Agreements for Telcos and other Telecom/Datacom providers. It is one of the earliest in the market and it is full featured. Resolve is well position to compete against Concorde and a few others. The market for SLAs is poised to pick up as it is becoming a standard way to do business. Its main drawback is the high price.

The other line of business is custom solutions for network management. They have done a number of multi-vendor projects and have a good experience in this field. There biggest project is with Siemens.

There are two things to watch:
1 - Most important: Resolve share of the SLA market vs market size
2 - Will Newbridge be sold?

The second one is less important in potential. Who ever buys Newbridge will be to integrate the two lines of products into one management system.
If they chose to use Newbridge 46020 NMS, Crosskeys are the experts.
If they chose their NMS, Crosskeys services might be required or not depending on the resources available.
If they keep both systems, Crosskeys might be used in various interworking projects. They will likely do this in the short term.
Note that the 46020 is a strong market differentiator for Newbridge.

Note also that an ATM vendor, FORE, just acquired Euristix, a competitor of Crosskeys. If Lucent buys Newbridge, will they keep using Euristix for multi-vendor management contracts?
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