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Strategies & Market Trends : Professional Equity Analysis - the Pursuit of True Value

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To: Winston Chang who wrote (68)2/12/1997 11:21:00 PM
From: mauser96   of 102
 
One of the big reasons to use cash flow is that earnings are more likely to be manipulated. That is not to say that cash flow can't be manipulated, just that since it is less visible and popular, therefore there is less incentive for management to manipulate it.
One should be careful with GAAP as they apply to high tech companies,since the rules were developed for different types of companies. For instance, the handling of good will and R&D.
I agree that long term projections of any kind are not meaningful with this kind of company. In fact any projection that forces you to make a prediction of interest rates is of dubious value. If either of us could accurately predict interest rates, we would be posting these notes from our 200 ft. yacht.
IN answer to question #1, I think cash flow is more predictable, but I can't prove it.
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