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Strategies & Market Trends : Currencies and the Global Capital Markets

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To: Henry Volquardsen who wrote (1240)3/3/1999 7:39:00 PM
From: Jags  Read Replies (2) of 3536
 
>>Inflation will remain tame as well as with technological change
>>being a major contributor. That will help keep interest
>>rates from being a major problem. Boomer investment and
>>international flows will also be a long term positive.

Technology has been the growth engine of the economy, its the
fastest growing segment of the economy. Plus its is deflationary i.e.
there are constant price reductions as faster, slimmer products and
services come online. The companies are making money via increased
volume inspite of decreasing prices.

But the other contributing factor to controlled inflation has been
the commodity prices being in the dumps which has been largely due
to oversupply wrt global demand, which in turn has been due to
global slowdown. Once the emerging markets bottom and start rising
the commodity index should bounce and cause inflationary pressure.

Also increased economic activity worldwide would tend to cause
outflow of international money from the US market.

Jags
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