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Strategies & Market Trends : Trader J's Inner Circle
NVDA 183.78-0.6%Dec 10 3:59 PM EST

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To: Trader J who wrote (10654)3/5/1999 9:41:00 PM
From: StockHawk  Read Replies (1) of 56535
 
Trader J - AMZN short - You have been thinking about an AMZN short. So how does this sound - based on earthly fundamentals AMZN and YHOO are both way overpriced. AMZN is doing something old - selling books - in a place that is new - the net. YHOO is doing something new - being a portal/gatway/home site/search engine - in a place that is new - again the net. Yahoo is making money and perhaps can make more money in its new place doing new things. AMZN is not making money. Traditionally books are a low margin business. Publishers sell to all bookstores at pretty much the same price. (The American Booksellers Association sued and won against a group of major publishers stopping them from giving favorable terms to chain stores and other large customers.) Price discounts can come out of only one place - margins. So AMZN may never make much money selling books. CD's and video's are not much better.

So how does this sound. Go long YHOO and use the margin to short an equal amount of AMZN. If all the inets zoom - or crash - the "neutral position" should not suffer. As long as here forward AMZN performs more poorly, or less spectacularly, than YHOO you make money.

What do you think? Tempting or crazy?

StockHawk
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