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Strategies & Market Trends : The Millennium Crash

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To: yard_man who wrote (3986)3/7/1999 5:41:00 AM
From: Arik T.G.  Read Replies (3) of 5676
 
tippet,

I agree that the NASDAQ is the weaker part. NDX big caps have problems resuming their exponential rise.

>> DOW 10,000 amd then what?

Maybe a version of what happened after DOW 1000 (November 1972).

>>Consensus a wekk or two ago was that we were headed for a collapse or at least a serious slide beginning at that time. That was wrong.

Well, the SPX tried to break the support line and failed. It tried really hard, but couldn't.
The trading range since the beginning of the year looks a lot like April - June 98. In April of last year the Russell 2000 topped, now the NDX topped 2/1 and looks like it will be extremely difficult for it to reach new highs.
So one can expact a narrow rally to new highs, like June - July of last year, led by the "low" P/E smokestack Dow companies, which apparently took the leadership from the NDX high flyers.

ATG
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