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Technology Stocks : The New QLogic (ANCR)
QLGC 16.070.0%Aug 24 5:00 PM EST

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To: Neil S who wrote (20986)3/7/1999 8:15:00 AM
From: Neil S  Read Replies (1) of 29386
 
Fibre Channel Market Projections

This material was presented by Ed Frymoyer of EMF Associates at the
FCA Summit Meeting in Jan 99.


I. Total FC Market [$Billions]

98 99 00 01 02 03 cagr 98-03
3.5 4.8 7.0 11.3 16.6 23.1 46%

II FC Market Changing Segment Percentages

FC Market Segments 1999 2003
SAN Servers/JOBDs/NAS,etc. 75 58
FC Nics, HBAs, related- non server 11 12
FC Hubs 3 3
FC Switches 4 14
FC Bridges and Routers 1 1
Test Equipment 1 2
Software 2 6
Training, Installation, Services 1 1
Management Software and Services 1 3

The total Fibre Channel Market is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 46%.

Assuming the total FC market is defined at end user prices, then
this forecast implies a switch market of ~ $1.6 B in year 2003.
[(23.1*.14)/2]

The segments with the greatest increase in percent are switches
[4% to 14%] and collectively software [3% to 9%].

Source: emf Associates, Inc.
FCA Annual Summit Meeting Jan/99

See the FCA server for link [thanks to J Fieb for the heads up]

Neil
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