hey, Earlie, MB, Mike M, anyone else,
MythMan's gonna hate the question, but what probability do you give for 1999 the bull market's final top (0 - 1.0), then further assess by quarters.
Then, how long to get back up to the high water mark? Also in probabilities, 0-5 years, 5-10 years, 10-20 years, 20+ years ... assuming real prices, not nominal prices, just in case da committee ta save da world has plans to print an extra buck or two.
Peter
oh, well, I've give zero thought to this, but I'll swag it, as long as I can adjust these later.
Final top 1999 .65
Q1 .30
Q2 .15
Q3 .15
Q4 .05
Back to highwater mark (real numbers)
0-5 years .20
5-10 years .20
10-20 years .20
20+ years .40
Peter |
