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Strategies & Market Trends : Brand Name Values and Turnarounds

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To: Investor2 who wrote (47)3/8/1999 10:52:00 PM
From: Michael Burry  Read Replies (1) of 82
 
I've owned MCD, and decided to unload half the position
today. MCD has been making steady improvements with new management
strategies. The street has been recognizing this, lifting it from
the 40's to the 90's in relatively brief time for such an established, slow-moving co. I took advantage of part of this. Management believes it can regain and maintain 15% annual earnings growth. As any Buffettologist knows, that's all it takes to produce some pretty stratospheric valuations, making a PE in the 40's pretty much meaningless if the 15% perpetual is believable. But it has gone overboard IMO. With the market as high as it is, these are best of times for stocks like MCD, and I'm sure it will come way down when the market turns. And I don't believe that it can attain a perpetual
15%.

BTW, I like BUNZ. I've liked it for a long-time, and despite the
accounting snafu re: its franchising strategy that sunk the stock,
feel it will make a good long-term hold from current valuations.
What freaks me out is how very little they earn on each store per
year. That goes with the high % franchises, I know. I don't have
a position yet.

Mike
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