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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: William H Huebl who wrote (38304)3/12/1999 6:55:00 AM
From: donald sew  Read Replies (1) of 94695
 
Bill,

How are you reading the VIX. I see a BULLISH FLAG forming, meaning that the VIX could surge to the upside, which would send the markets down hard.

But how do you read a BK from that.

Bill, near early April there should be a very strong pullback which some may interpret as a BK, but what I am saying is that such will not even be the big one. My position is that there will be a bear market which will last about 2-3 years and which should bring the P/E ratio back to the 15-20 range or lower within 5 years. That would account for a 33-50% haircut.

Seeya
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