Robert, I know that you are the #1 fan of AOL but AOL cannot split
so quickly for many reasons.
I would like to see AOL's next split occurred around $200 - $250 so
AOL can be a $100 - $125 stock after split and the upward barrier should be $200 not $100 anymore so the stock can be more dynamic.
If there is no big Y2K glitch at the year end, we might see a 2-for-1
or even 3-for-2 split around $200 - $250 in early 2000.
With Netcencer under the AOL sleeve, now big guys are more willing
to pay big $ for exposure because they can cross a deal with AOL to
show their e-commerce on AOL/Compuserve/Netcenter for all the eyeballs
there. FirstUSA's deal does not include Netcenter, Citigroup's deal
does not include AOL/Compuserve.
Is there a company with market cap. of 1000 billions?
Will AOL grow into a 1000 billion company?
1000 ~= 90x2x2x2x2 (in 10 years)
500 ~=((90/2)x3)x2x2 (in 3-5 years)
300 ~= 90x2x2 (in 3 years)
300 ~=(((90/2)x3)/2)x3)x2 (1 split each year for the next 3 years)
Will AOL's earning support the calculation?
If AOL team up (or buy) a network TV, such as Fox, CBS to accelerate
the eyeball count and gain bigger ad $ in the future and the
bottom line's growth will allow AOL for more split,
more DSL partnership deals, CABLE deals, satellite deals because
each deal will put gas into the AOL engine, I also dream a deal
between AOL and GM, AOL with GE's appliance , more oversea deals... dream on...
Will AOL make mistake during the next 2-3 years or even slow down? Maybe you know the answer because I have no idea besides cross my finger for AOL and my money ...
Lottery costs $1 and the chance is remote slim, AOL's lottery costs
much more but the odds is much higher ...
This is always the case in life, more questions than answers ... but
again, too many answers spoil a good dream ... |
