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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services

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To: Razorbak who wrote (39936)3/14/1999 9:47:00 PM
From: diana g  Read Replies (3) of 95453
 
Re: Prisoners' Dilemma

Hi Razor, The choice facing each 'prisoner' requires him to do an analysis of the costs and benefits of each possible action.

I agree that if the benefit of defecting is clear, then that is the likely choice.
But is it beneficial?
In your example you gave point values to each possible outcome, but of course these are arbitrary.
To use the police analogy --- If the police offer one suspect a two year sentence if he talks, and he faces 30 years if he does not but his partner does talk, then he is much more likely to talk than if they offer him 25 years versus the same 30 (and freedom in all cases if neither talks.)

I think the difference of opinion here is on this point --- You think that the producers will see defecting to be in their best interest as individuals. I believe that they will cooperate (not cheat) because they recognize that the cost of non-compliance is greater than the benefit of non-compliance.

regards,
diana
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