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Strategies & Market Trends : Currencies and the Global Capital Markets

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To: Enigma who wrote (1390)	3/15/1999 11:51:00 AM
From: Henry Volquardsen	Read Replies (2) of 3536

D I don't know yet. The easy assumption would be to say the money comes out as it went in, same profile. This would make sense. The boomers as a group have been tremendously poor savers. So even their current rate of savings will not allow them sufficient funds to just switch yo annuities and clip the coupons. Also a decade plus bull market is making them complacent about returns on equity investments. These two factors could combine to keep them substanially in equities longer than the typical profile as they try to pad out their savings. This would probably result in the turn of the wave expressing itself to an equity market that tops with a multi year sideways move, although with a downward bias, before the significant sell of begins. I don't expect a significant boomer move into annuities. This is all highly speculative of course and several years, at least, in the future. So there will be plenty of time to fine tune the scenario. But that is what I currently have as my most likely scenario.

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