Bankruptcy Predictor Model Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Bankruptcy Predictor Model

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To: Paul Berliner who wrote (37)	3/15/1999 4:30:00 PM
From: rakitup	Read Replies (1) of 477

Razor: Ever heard of reading the balance sheet, the income statement, ding the ratios, etc.? Combining these with backlog, lack of earnings, and lack of hype you can usually predict the demise of a company just by getting a feel for the numbers. And after all, a company does not need to declare bankruptcy in order to be a profitable short. That's where puts are valuable. Example: BA isn't going out of business but it is likely to suffer during the current year (check its numbers)so I bought the Aug in the money puts. Great thread. And, thanks for the formula. Makes a great confirmation tool. Rak up a winner

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