March 15, 1999
Giuliani leads Hillary Rodham Clinton in U.S. Senate race
Why she's running? Why she stays? Most asked questions
Republican New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani is the comfortable choice over First Lady Hillary Rodham Clinton if the highly anticipated U.S. Senate race between the two were decided today, a Zogby New York Poll shows.
The survey conducted March 10-12 of 708 likely New York State voters showed 48.4% of the respondents favoring Giuliani compared to 36.9% who favor the First Lady. The survey has a margin of sampling error of +/- 3.8%.
While Giuliani is the leader among Upstate New York voters 55.4% to 27.7% and among the state's suburban area voters 58.8% to 28.6%, Rodham Clinton receives substantial support from traditionally Democratic New York City voters 58.8% to Giuliani's 27.7%.
Among Republican respondents, Giuliani leads comfortably 76.4% to 11%, while among Democrats, the First Lady has a 62.5% to 23.8% advantage. Among Independent voters, Giuliani leads 51.9% to 27.8%.
Among all respondents, Giuliani earned a combined 67.9% very favorable or somewhat favorable rating, compared to Rodham Clinton's 51.6%. The First Lady however received a combined 40.2% somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable rating compared to Giuliani's 21.2%.
Zogby New York tracking graph
Dec. '98
Jan. '99
Mar. '99
Rudolph Guiliani
46.3
46.6
48.4
Hillary Rodham Clinton
41.5
39.2
36.9
The number one issue for Clinton, will be why she is running and what she intends to do for New York State. That was cited by 22% of the respondents. In second place, 9% want to know why she still stays with the President.
What do people want to know from Giuliani? Three issues are in a dead-heat -- what he will do about education, personal character and how he plans to fairly represent Upstate. These were all tied at approximately 10%.
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March 12, 1999
Bush Widens Lead Over Gore in Zogby America Poll
Bush and Gore Wallop Opponents in Mock Primaries
Democrats and Republicans Locked in Tight Generic Race for House
Texas Governor George W. Bush now leads Vice-President Al Gore by 17.7 points – 55.1% to 37.4% -- in the March Zogby America Poll. The poll of 908 likely voters was conducted March 4-7 and has a margin of sampling error of +/-3.8%.
Last month's Zogby Poll had Bush leading 54.3% to 38.3%.
Pollster John Zogby: "No doubt Bush got a lift last week from his rolling announcement – his Tuesday news conference in Texas announcing that he would announce his exploratory committee on Sunday. This guy is very hot, but can he sustain this heat for another year?"
The new poll also shows Bush with a majority of Republican primary votes in a mock primary – 55.9% to Elizabeth Dole's 10.5%.
Meanwhile, Gore does not receive a majority of Democratic votes (49.6%) in a three-way primary against former New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley (15.1%) and Rev. Jesse Jackson (12.8%).
In the generic vote for the House of Representatives, the Democrats are in a statistical dead heat with the Republicans: 40.6% Democrat to 38.4% Republican.
Zogby said: "Election 2000 should have its own dynamics, its own personalities, its own issues. It should be a clean slate for both parties."
Zogby America tracking graph:
Feb. '99
March '99
Tex. Gov. George W. Bush
54.3
55.1
Vice Pres. Al Gore
38.3
37.4
Zogby International Press Release
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March 8, 1999
2 to 1 AMERICANS BELIEVE
CLINTON GUILTY OF ALLEGED SEXUAL ASSAULT
Americans believe Juanita Broaddrick's allegations that she was raped by President Bill Clinton in 1979 by a more than 2-1 margin, although just as many say additional information about the incident is needed before a true judgment can be made, a Zogby America poll shows.
Results of a Zogby America poll conducted March 4-7 of 908 likely voters show that 36.8% of the respondents say they are inclined to believe Broaddrick based on information known today, while 17.3% say they are inclined to believe the President's denial.
Among Republican respondents, 58% say they believe Broaddrick with 6% believing the President. Among Democratic respondents, 31.1% say they believe the President with 18.1% siding with Broaddrick. And among Independents, 34.5% say they believe Broaddrick with 13.3% siding with the President.
The poll has a plus/minus 3.3% margin of sampling error.
Responses among men and women were similar regarding the allegations, with 39.8% of the men respondents believing Broaddrick compared to 34% of the woman respondents, while 15.9% of the men and 18.6% of the women respondents say they believe the President.
While many respondents have already made determinations regarding the allegations, even more or 39.7% say more information is needed before a true judgement can be made.
Despite many who have made up their minds, the poll also showed an overwhelming majority, or 61.8% believe the President should not make any further statements and/or respond to media inquires about the alleged incident, apart from his already released one-sentence denial which was issued through his attorney.
The survey showed that 27.7% of the respondents agreed that additional response from the President is needed, while 10.5% said they were not sure.
Of the respondents, 77.5% said they were either very aware or somewhat aware of the allegations.
Zogby International Press Release
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March 1, 1999
BUSH/DOLE BEATS CLINTON/GORE TICKET IN FICTIONAL
2000 PRESIDENTIAL BID
A Republican Presidential ticket with Gov. George W. Bush, of Texas teamed with Elizabeth Dole as his vice presidential running mate would handily defeat President Bill Clinton and Vice President Al Gore in a fictional year 2000 race, a Zogby America poll shows.
Although Clinton is ineligible to run again, a survey of 756 likely voters taken February 17, had the hypothetical Bush/Dole ticket beating Clinton/Gore 52.4% to 41.7%. The poll has a plus/minus margin of sampling error of 3.7%.
In a comparison of regions, the Clinton/Gore ticket carried only the East by 48% to 42.5%, while the Republican team carried the South, 55.5% to 41.2%, the Central-Great Lakes, 56.7% to 39.8% and the West 53.7 to 36.5.
Clinton/Gore carried the 18 to 29 age-group 56% to 44%; those with less than high school education 59.7% to 40.3%, and those with high school diplomas 48.1% to 45.6%.
Bush/Dole however carried the 30-49 age group 56.7% to 35.4%. The pattern narrows with the Republicans carrying the 50-64 age group by a mere 1.8%, but jumps to a commanding lead of 57% to 38.3% of voters older than 65.
While Clinton/Gore carried voters with less than high school education and those with high school diplomas, Bush/Dole in response carried voters with at least some college 56.6% to 37.7%.
Among ethnic groups, the Democratic ticket did well with Hispanics, 62.4% to 27.5%, and African-Americans, 78.1% to 11.9%, but the Republican ticket did well among Independents, 51.2% to 40.7% and White, Non-Hispanic, 60.7% to 34.9%.
In head-to-head competition, Bush would still handily defeat Clinton, 51.3% to 42%, with Clinton only winning the East 53.1% to 38.9%, and Bush winning the South 55.2% to 38.7%, the Central-Great Lakes, 54.7% to 39.4% and the West 56.5% to 36%, the survey shows.
Zogby International Press Release
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