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Technology Stocks : Ciena (CIEN)
CIEN 191.61-0.1%Nov 17 4:00 PM EST

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To: Fran who wrote (6765)3/16/1999 5:06:00 PM
From: James A. Shankland  Read Replies (1) of 12623
 
Where do you think the bottom will be on Ciena?

Around the back, a little below the belt.

More seriously, my take is that we've about paid the inevitable price for the dilutive acquisitions at this point, as well as the natural retreat from traders' profit-taking after an impressive runup. A couple of analysts seem to like these acquisitions a lot; if a consensus begins to build that they were a clever idea, that should support the stock price. It's reminiscent of when ASND bought SRA; the stock dropped back considerably, because people didn't really understand the reasoning behind the acquisition, and because people thought it made Lucent less likely to buy ASND. (Now, of course, LU has bought ASND.)

So I'm bullish at today's prices. On the other hand, my opinion is that the market in general has become overvalued over the last couple of weeks; if the S&P500 falls 100-200 points some time in the next couple of months, CIEN will likely drop, also.
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