Telcos see hope in China's open markets
news.com By Reuters Special to CNET News.com March 16, 1999, 10:00 a.m. PT
BEIJING--Premier Zhu Rongji's signal that China may open its telecommunications market has raised the spirits of foreign firms worried about the fate of $1.4 billion in investments, executives said today.
Zhu said yesterday he was "very hopeful" of a deal for China's entry into the World Trade Organization, and dangled the prospect of greater foreign access to telecommunications.
The words raised eyebrows at several of the foreign firms that have put money into so-called China-China-foreign ventures, known as CCFs, which China has declared "irregular."
The foreign firms, barred from direct involvement in the world's fastest growing telecom market, found Chinese partners which would establish joint ventures with China Unicom, the cash-starved competitor to state giant China Telecom.
The overseas companies would make money from installing telephone systems and consulting fees.
China's Ministry of Information Industries declared them irregular late last year and has said it would settle the ventures "one by one."
But so far, the foreign companies say they have heard no word on the fate of their investments.
While there was little hope the CCF model could be salvaged, one executive said an acceptable solution would be to allow foreigners to buy minority stakes in Chinese service providers.
"They're considering this issue together with the WTO accession," said the executive, who declined to be identified.
"That's the reason we're looking forward to whatever progress he's going to make in the U.S. visit," he said of Zhu's scheduled visit to the United States next month.
Although the United States and China agree there remains much to be done on a WTO deal, both have said in recent weeks there has been significant progress and there is growing speculation that some kind of announcement could come while Zhu is in the United States.
"China will make the biggest concession within its ability," Zhu told a news conference.
"We would open up China's telecommunications market to let foreign capital come in," he said. "The way forward is to bring in competition."
Another executive said Zhu's comments were "a very positive message," but said the foreign companies were exasperated at waiting for a solution to the CCF problem and that their patience was running thin.
"What we'd like to see is action for a change. It's ridiculous," he said.
Already several companies, such as GTE, have scaled down their China offices after attempts to break into the market were repeatedly frustrated.
Analysts say the only thing keeping the others around is the fate of their CCF investments.
"We'll be waiting at a maximum to the end of this year," said one of the executives.
"If WTO is going dead again, you're going to see a big exodus," he said. "Lots of people will be leaving."
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