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Politics : Ask Michael Burke

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To: Peter Singleton who wrote (52430)3/18/1999 9:30:00 AM
From: Freedom Fighter  Read Replies (2) of 132070
 
WSJ Article

I didn't get a chance to read the WSJ article but I heard that one of the justifications for stock ownership presented was that earnings go up and bond interest stays the same.

In general this whole concept is a fallacy.

The vast majority of businesses do not distribute all or even most of their earnings. They grow those earnings by reinvesting a significant portion of their profit in expansion, new ventures etc... One can accomplish the same thing as a bond investor by reinvesting most of the interest. This will produce a progressively larger gross interest payment and mimic the growth in profit of the typical business. (compound interest)

The determination of which route is better for the investor is dependent on the price of the stock in relation to earnings (earnings yield) vs current bond yields, the sustainable return on capital of the business vs the bond interest, how much can be reinvested in the business, and other fundamental factors of business valuation.

By those standards most blue chip stocks are priced at extremely speculative levels.

Wayne Crimi
Value Investor Workshop
members.aol.com
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