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Technology Stocks : Verity (VRTY)
VRTY 2.4000.0%Dec 22 4:00 PM EST

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To: richard p. martino who wrote (248)2/18/1997 1:08:00 PM
From: JustKirk   of 1011
 
Kumar,

FirstCall Earnings Estimates (from AOL)reports the following on Verity

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FIRST CALL EARNINGS ESTIMATES

VRTY Verity, Inc. 02/10/97
Industry: Software SIC: 9999
Latest Price: $14.25 1997 P/E: -
Analyst Recommendation: 1.3

QTR QTR FY FY
Feb 97 May 97 May 97 May 98
--- --- -- --
CURRENT MEAN EPS 0.01 0.05 -0.04 0.38
Number of Brokers 3 3 4 4

Median 0.01 0.04 -0.04 0.42
Standard Deviation 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.11
Current High 0.01 0.06 -0.01 0.47
Current Low 0.00 0.04 -0.06 0.19

Year Ago EPS 0.01A 0.05A -0.23A -0.04
Current vs. Year Ago Change 0% 0% 83% 1050%
Report Date wk/Mar 20 wk/Jun 30 wk/Jun 30 -

EARNINGS ESTIMATE REVISION MOMENTUM

Up Revisions last 7 days 0 0 0 0
Up Revisions last 30 days 0 0 0 0
Down Revisions last 7 days 0 0 0 0
Down Revisions last 30 days 2 2 3 1

EARNINGS ESTIMATES CONSENSUS TRENDS

Current Mean 0.01 0.05 -0.04 0.38
7-days ago Mean 0.01 0.05 -0.04 0.38
30-days ago Mean 0.01 0.06 -0.03 0.45
60-days ago Mean 0.00 0.04 -0.08 0.45
90-days ago Mean -0.01 0.05 -0.11 0.43

COMPARATIVE ESTIMATES AND TRENDS

Industry - Software 64.78 66.52 242.42 296.79
Current vs. Year Ago Change 42% 35% 29% 22%

Sector - TECHNOLOGY 8.31 9.64 34.71 43.81
Current vs. Year Ago Change 28% 32% 18% 26%

WSJ/DJ US Index 9.98 10.96 40.82 46.73
Current vs. Year Ago Change 14% 12% 11% 14%

Ratios Relative To: Company Industry Sector WSJ/DJ

P/E on 1997 Cal Yr Mean 83.8 28.28 19.27 16.82
PEG on 1997 Cal Yr Mean 1.86 1.29 1.16 1.44

RECOMMENDATION AND GROWTH RATES

RECOMMENDATIONS LONG TERM GROWTH RATES

Current Mean 1.3 Next 5 yrs - Median 45%
Number of Brokers 3 Number of Brokers 2
Industry Recommendation: 2.0 Industry Growth Rate: 22%

7-days ago Mean 1.3 Next 5 yrs - High 50%
30-days ago Mean 1.7 Next 5 yrs - Low 40%
60-days ago Mean 2.5 Last 5 Years NM
90-days ago Mean 2.5

Diff. from Industry +0.7 Rel. to Industry 2.1
Diff. from Sector +0.7 Rel. to Sector 2.7
Diff. from WSJ/DJ US +0.9 Rel. to WSJ/DJ US 3.9

Transmitted: 2/11/97 6:12 PM (E_VRTY)

Kumar, Do you plan to buy this stock when it reaches 7. If you plan to buy at 7 what do you think a 6 month target would be? What do you think of FirstCalls 5 yr growth rate. Do you think it is accurate?
Do you think the downward recommendations are due to the price of stock falling or to problems within the company and/or upcoming earnings? Sorry to hit you with all these questions but you seem to have the correct take on this stock.

Thank you,

Jane Kirk
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