IBM expects hand-to-hand combat [see bottom]
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By Reuters Special to CNET News.com March 19, 1999, 3:00 p.m. PT
HANNOVER, Germany--IBM, the world's largest computer maker, said today that competitors in the market for Internet devices will fight a decisive battle within the next 18 months.
Mark Bregman, general manager at IBM's Pervasive Computing division, said that the winners will be the companies which can provide consumers with uncomplicated and focused devices.
The losers will be companies like software giant Microsoft that produce powerful but complicated devices, according to Bregman.
Microsoft told Reuters on Wednesday that, on the contrary, it felt well placed to succeed in the devices segment.
We will soon know the answer to these counter-claims, said Bregman.
"In five years this will get settled, in fact I think it will get settled in the next 12 to 18 months. In World War II, in retrospect we knew when the decisive battle was, but it took a long time afterwards to get the thing finished," Bregman said at the annual CeBIT technology fair here.
Bregman said the Microsoft approach worked well in the business world, but would be less attractive in mass markets.
"The business model that Microsoft has is very suitable when you are in the platform business because then the customer wants to know it can run all these applications. But in the appliance market you don't care anymore. What's the operating system in your cell phone? You don't know because you don't care," Bregman said.
News from CeBIT this year has been dominated by companies competing to outdo each other with new little computerized communications devices. Companies have been setting up alliances to make sure that whoever wins, they don't lose. (See related story.)
IBM believes that in the next five to 10 years there will be over one million businesses and one billion people using one trillion mobile and network devices to communicate world wide.
"What's happening right now is a sign of the fact that we are in a state of transition," Bregman said.
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