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Strategies & Market Trends : Bankruptcy Predictor Model

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To: Razorbak who wrote (99)3/20/1999 7:41:00 AM
From: Greg Jung  Read Replies (1) of 477
 
Razorbak, thanks for the score on hmar.
Under static conditions hmar goes down.
If world recession continues the company is in trouble.
However economic data are not static, especially earnings of companies. So the more important question requires a time parameter.
In hmar case their most recent earnings were +0.12: I presume this could be maintained indefinitely without further financing or restructuring.
Presuming they were instead to lose 0.12 each quarter how long before an "investment event" is needed.
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