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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 660.19-0.8%4:00 PM EST

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To: TheHahnz who wrote (8748)3/23/1999 2:09:00 PM
From: Casaubon  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
re comment on A/D line

This is the greatest thread, and I'll tell you why. Everyone has an opinion, and by providing a forum where ideas can be expressed allows for an analysis with more validity. The A/D line may have been in decline for 15 years, but that decline occurs with some slope (of measurable value). What Don has been pointing out is most probably a divergence in the rate of declination. An analogy would be to say, "officer why are you writing me a speeding ticket? I know you clocked me at 100mph but my average speed was 60mph. The A/D line is experiencing a more rapid rate of declination, relative to the historic rate which has been occurring for 15 years. The source of this disparity is most probably the global winds of economic change. It is my experience that humans are very perceptive to the rate of change of anything. Thus, it is easier to recognize when a car is accelerating or decelarating, but it much more difficult to say we are travelling at a constant rate of 50mph or 60mph. When velocity changes this is referred to as accelaration or deceleration. The A/D line declination had been travelling along at some speed and has now accelarated the speed at which it is declining. We should always pay attention to change, it is saying something.

Thanks for eveyones insight!
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