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Pastimes : The Naked Truth - Big Kahuna a Myth
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To: Investor2 who wrote (27216)3/23/1999 6:07:00 PM
From: Defrocked  Read Replies (2) of 86076
 
I cannot tell you what to do. Since I am
virtually all in cash/bonds, my own strategy is
to be patient and wait for some sanity in the
form of relative pricing to reappear amongst
stocks, bonds and equities. Q1 earnings, real
activity and Fed responses over the next few months
may help sort things out.

The odds, BTW, of an 11.3% move down in the SPX from
1262 to 1120 during the next 60 trading days are
about 6.4% (or 1 in 16) at a volatility of 28%. FWIW.
Of course, there are posters around here that will tell
you "its guaranteed at 100%"<G>.Good luck.
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