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Strategies & Market Trends : Bankruptcy Predictor Model

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To: Razorbak who wrote (142)3/23/1999 6:30:00 PM
From: Q.  Read Replies (2) of 477
 
One reason that LWN has such a low Z score is they have a lot of assets. That means big numbers in the denominator when computing Z.

They are in the process of trying to sell assets. If they are successful in doing that, then the numerators will go up and the denominator will go down, so that the Z score will go way up.

Isn't that what would normally happen in a turnaround?

The shareholders equity, which is computed using the book value of the assets, is a very substantial number, suggesting that shareholders would fetch $17 a share in a liquidation. Unless of course the assets aren't worth what the co. says they are worth.

Anyway, the co. might go bankrupt if they can't sell assets fast enough, but even if they do go BK, the assets are there.

10Q can be found here:
edgar-online.com
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