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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 671.910.0%Nov 14 4:00 PM EST

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To: Jerry Olson who wrote (9003)3/24/1999 6:29:00 PM
From: Vitas  Read Replies (4) of 99985
 
Jerry: >>>if you're referring to the "O" in P&F speak...your wrong...
P&F charts & Indicators always lead the markets direction...<<<

If this is true:

"P&F charts display an "X" when prices rise by the "box size" and display an "O" when prices fall by the box size. Note that no Xs or Os are drawn if prices rise or fall by an amount that is less than the box size.

Each column can contain either Xs or Os, but never both. In order to change columns (e.g., from an X column to an O column), prices must reverse by the "reversal amount" multiplied by the box size. For example, if the box size is 3 points and the reversal amount is 2 boxes, then prices must reverse direction 6 points (3 times 2) in order to change columns. If you are in a column of Xs, the price must fall 6 points in order to change to a column of Os. If you are in a column of Os, the price must rise 6 points in order to change to a column of Xs.

The changing of columns signifies a change in the trend of prices."

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then at turning points P&F charts LAG the turn. Note that "the price must fall 6 points in order to change to a column of Os" (or whatever box size times reversal amount you are using).

The whole world knows that.

My statement that "I would imagine at an important trend change, by the time the O hits the pavement a flier can take a 10% whacking intraday." is correct.

Remember in January when IBM closed at 197 and then gapped down the next day to open at 184? It was on a P&F buy signal.

Whoooooooooooops.

Vitas

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