TRacking; The top 20 runners, or leaders of the NDX since FEB. 19
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I have not back tested this on the NDX but it works on the S&P500
Being indexes and derivatives cause a momentum market runners
tend to keep doing better and the pattern changes slowly.
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This is in addition to the head/tail system, it's a stick with
the winners type system. I don't recommend these stocks at least
at this time, because if a correction comes most of them can
also lose value fast.
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Patience is the Key The way it works on the S&P is
to find the TOP or Fastest Runners Just before a large correction, then after the market correction buy them,
as a group they will again run faster than the index.
Normally I try to look 3 months back before the correction
to see who was running the fastest.
I haven't tracked these back far enough but it's still a good
starting place.
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Symbol Last Trade Change Avg Vol Volume Shrs Value Value Change Gain Paid
^NDX Mar 26 2067.30 -16.05 -0.77% N/A N/A - - - -0.77% - - 1931.59
QCOM Mar 26 111 9/16 +13 1/8 +13.33% 1,755,318 13,142,300 100 $11,156.25 $1,312.50 +13.33% $4,668.75 +71.97% 64.8750
CMGI Mar 26 182 3/8 -5 1/16 -2.70% 3,731,818 1,368,800 100 $18,237.50 -$506.25 -2.70% $7,337.50 +67.32% 109
ATHM Mar 26 150 7/8 +4 5/8 +3.16% 3,227,181 4,315,700 100 $15,087.50 $462.50 +3.16% $5,012.50 +49.75% 100.75
RXSD Mar 26 19 3/8 -1/4 -1.27% 1,100,863 671,600 100 $1,937.50 -$25.00 -1.27% $593.75 +44.19% 13.4375
NOVL Mar 26 25 3/8 -1/2 -1.93% 6,097,500 3,354,900 100 $2,537.50 -$50.00 -1.93% $706.25 +38.57% 18.3125
PMTC Mar 26 19 13/16 -13/16 -3.94% 3,464,818 4,113,800 100 $1,981.25 -$81.25 -3.94% $550.00 +38.43% 14.3125
AMZN Mar 26 139 1/16 -13/16 -0.58% 9,793,090 12,461,000 100 $13,906.25 -$81.25 -0.58% $3,718.75 +36.50% 101.875
ADBE Mar 26 56 15/16 +15/16 +1.67% 795,045 1,287,500 100 $5,693.75 $93.75 +1.67% $1,462.50 +34.56% 42.3125
QWST Mar 26 71 3/8 -1/4 -0.35% 3,283,636 2,476,300 100 $7,137.50 -$25.00 -0.35% $1,668.75 +30.51% 54.6875
IMNX Mar 26 88 5/8 +5/16 +0.35% 473,363 943,200 100 $8,862.50 $31.25 +0.35% $2,012.50 +29.38% 68.5
TLAB Mar 26 97 3/16 +1 5/8 +1.70% 2,693,136 3,540,100 100 $9,718.75 $162.50 +1.70% $2,062.50 +26.94% 76.5625
YHOO Mar 26 171 3/8 -7 5/8 -4.26% 9,761,318 5,791,200 100 $17,137.50 -$762.50 -4.26% $3,606.25 +26.65% 135.3125
BGEN Mar 26 115 7/8 -1 5/16 -1.12% 1,684,090 545,200 100 $11,587.50 -$131.25 -1.12% $2,375.00 +25.78% 92.125
NXTL Mar 26 37 7/8 +4 5/16 +12.85% 4,433,681 20,789,400 100 $3,787.50 $431.25 +12.85% $731.25 +23.93% 30.5625
MCHP Mar 26 35 5/16 +5/16 +0.89% 696,818 452,100 100 $3,531.25 $31.25 +0.89% $668.75 +23.36% 28.625
ERTS Mar 26 49 1/16 -3/16 -0.38% 827,227 518,800 100 $4,906.25 -$18.75 -0.38% $893.75 +22.27% 40.125
SUNW Mar 26 116 1/2 -1 13/16 -1.53% 7,699,363 8,042,000 100 $11,650.00 -$181.25 -1.53% $2,006.25 +20.80% 96.4375
BMET Mar 26 43 9/16 +1/2 +1.16% 703,545 750,700 100 $4,356.25 $50.00 +1.16% $743.75 +20.59% 36.125
MSFT Mar 26 178 1/8 -1 13/16 -1.01% 16,389,318 23,671,900 100 $17,812.50 -$181.25 -1.01% $3,037.50 +20.56% 147.75
AMGN Mar 26 74 5/8 -5/8 -0.83% 4,202,681 3,037,800 100 $7,462.50 -$62.50 -0.83% $1,256.25 +20.24% 62.0625
21 symbols
Totals(USD): $178,487.50$468.75+0.26%$45,112.50+33.82%
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Based on 100 shares each of the above from Feb 19 a person would
have made $45,112.50 (less commissions)
on an investment of $133,375 say commissions in&out at $12
each way on each stock, or a total of $480 on the lot.
for a 33.5% gain in just over 5 weeks.
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Note the Runners are still up .26% on the DOWN day, so the leadership
has not given up completely. This is one of the reasons
I say the index is giving mixed signals, the Head/tail looks
like it wants to go down, but this don't.
When they both confirm one another it's a better bet, right
now the risk both ways makes me want to stay cash.
Jim |
