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Strategies & Market Trends : Bankruptcy Predictor Model

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To: Bob Rudd who wrote (220)	3/28/1999 12:31:00 PM
From: Razorbak	Read Replies (1) of 477

Ohlson Model <<LGT = I /(I +[exp{(-2.63-267 Log(AT) +5.63 TL/AT) - 1.43(WCAP/AT)-2.35(NI/AT) - 1.99(OANCF/TL)1.56D-.5092(NI(t) -NI(t-1))/(AbsNI(t)+AbsNI(t-1))(-1)}]) (2) where AT = Total Assets, TL = Total Liabilities, WCAP = Working Capital, NI = Net Income, OANCF = CashFlows from Operating Activities >> <<When I look at this my eyes glaze over [MEGO], but perhaps your experience can help you interpret and convert this into something we can use.>> Bob: Thanks for the info. This may have some real promise! Can you please check a couple of things for me? I can't seem to find definitions for "I" or "t". Any idea what these might be? (Perhaps "1" instead of "I", and perhaps "t" = time?) Thanks in advance. Razor

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