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[Electronic Investor Online][Image] February 20, 1997
Novell Holders Launch Novel Protest on the `Net
Lisa R. Goldbaum
[Image]Investors have flocked to the Internet's message boards and chat areas to share their ideas and vent their spleen about stocks they own. But in recent weeks, some investors have taken this one step further by using the 'Net to try ousting a poorly performing company's management.
Novell shareholder Joe Antol of New Jersey, frustrated by what he perceives as a lack of initiative from the board and top management of the once-proud networking-software company, has launched what may be the first Web-based proxy fight. Antol has used his personal Web page to help individual Novell shareholders send proxy statements to the California Public Employees Retirement System's (CalPERS) and the State of Wisconsin Investment Board (SWIB), both big institutional holders of Novell stock.
The proxies would give CalPERS and SWIB the power to vote on behalf of these individual investors either to oust the current board of directors or take some other action to implement change at the company. CalPERS, a leading shareholder-rights advocate, has helped effect management changes at some of the nation's biggest companies, including IBM and General Motors.
Antol started his movement after seeing Novell on CalPERS' annual top-ten list of underperforming stocks. "It was the last straw for me," he said. Having bought the stock late in 1995 at about 18, he has since seen its price fall to the current level of around 12 1/2-at one point it sank as low as 8 3/4--while other major technology stocks like Microsoft have virtually doubled.
Proxy solicitations certainly aren't new, but launching them over the Internet is. They're also a lot cheaper than hiring a big proxy-solicitation firm to gather dissenting votes-something way beyond the means of individual investors. Even CalPERS spokesman Brad Pacheco was surprised at the level of organization shown by these 'Net-savvy Novell shareholders.
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To Antol, however, it was only natural. He has set up his own Web page (http://www.monmouth.com/~jantol), which lets Novell shareholders merely type in their names and click the "send" button to e-mail their proxies to CalPERS and SWIB. Investors seem to be heeding the call; Antol told Barron's Online that the movement has already gathered about half a million shares-admittedly a fraction of Novell's 344 million outstanding shares, but a good start, he insists.
What's gotten Antol and his band of not-so-merry Novell shareholders so riled up? Mainly, they fear that on its current course, the company could become a high-tech dinosaur. Novell, which develops software for computer networks, still has a dominant position in that market. But Microsoft, whose operating system commands the desktop, has made a big push to grab share in the server and workstation market, using its fast-growing Windows NT operating system as a platform. Microsoft's determination and marketing muscle make it a formidable foe for anyone, particularly a company that seems as adrift as Novell does.
Novell seems to have done nothing right in the last three years. Founder Raymond Noorda's valedictory acquisition of WordPerfect in 1994--an attempt to thwart Microsoft--was a disaster, as the program lost most of its market share by the end of 1995. It was sold to Corel at a huge loss last year as part of a promised turnaround by then-chairman, president and CEO Robert Frankenberg. Frankenberg, an alumnus of Hewlett Packard, tried to refocus Novell on its core networking business, but he was gone by August 1996. His replacement was marketing executive Joseph Marengi, who has been serving as interim CEO while Novell looks for a permanent replacement.
Antol and the other investors are "trying to light a fire under" management in an effort to get the board to hire a "showbiz" CEO on the order of IBM's Louis Gerstner. He would also like to see the company place a greater emphasis on marketing.
But their real agenda may be to force the sale of the company--a prospect Novell appears to be resisting. At a recent investor conference, Marengi said, "Everything we're doing in this company is geared to be stand-alone." Nevertheless, Antol and others are proposing prospective partners; he thinks Oracle might be a good match, since acquiring Novell would allow it to broaden its market in the network-software business outside its existing database products.
But Novell has been the subject of takeover speculation for years: in 1995 IBM was alleged to be interested, though nothing ever came of that and no real suitors have emerged. As an investor with the user name AlanI95975 said in one posted message, "These rumors have persisted for so long, it seems foolish to even factor them into decisions about the stock."
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By some measures, though, Novell's stock does look attractive. It trades at 15.4 times First Call's consensus Wall Street estimate of 81 cents a share for the fiscal year ending October 31 and at nearly 13 times the October 1998 EPS estimate of 97 cents. (The company will report its fiscal first quarter earnings next week, and the Street is looking for 18 cents a share.) Meanwhile, analysts expect the company to grow earnings at a 20% annual clip into 1998 and over the next five years. That makes Novell one of the few technology companies trading at a discount to its expected growth rate. But with Microsoft knocking at Novell's door, not too many investors seem ready to bet on that growth.
How effective will Antol's 'Net-based proxy crusade be in influencing the company? Novell's head of investor relations, Peter Troop, said he wasn't even aware of it, though he did offer the standard company line, "Rebuilding shareholder value is our overwhelming priority." And even CalPERS' Pacheco said he realizes the company can't do anything dramatic until it chooses a new CEO, which Marengi has said will take another 30 to 60 days.
But Antol remains hopeful, if not a bit worn out. "I just want to get out of this and still make some money," he explained. He certainly has had to go to great lengths to achieve that apparently simple goal.
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