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Biotech / Medical : XOMA. Bull or Bear?
XOMA 26.68+1.3%11:32 AM EST

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To: StockDoc who wrote (9387)3/28/1999 8:13:00 PM
From: Cacaito  Read Replies (2) of 17367
 
StockDoc, If your premise is 10% mortality then just forget Xoma.

The example you want: from 10% to 5% will need about 1000 patients on each group (placebo and bpi).

An astonishing feat would be (and a more realistic expectancy in the placebo group): placebo 25% vs bpi 12.5%, a 50% decrease and the actual close to 400 case is enough.

Even placebo 20% vs bpi 16% (4% absolute, relative 25% decrease) will be a huge success (number of patients will be in the 600 to 800 range on each group).

Please, understand the numbers are educated guessing. I do not have the software to calculate them.at this moment.

Xoma go, 2000 patients total must be the goal.

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