Here is the Oil driver today. U.S. oil company stocks soar, fueled by takeover talk NEW YORK, March 29 (Reuters) - U.S. oil stocks jumped sharply on Monday as BP Amoco's <BPA.L> possible takeover of Atlantic Richfield Co. <ARC.N> poured gasoline on already fiery talk about further oil sector consolidation. Atlantic Richfield (ARCO) shares showed some of the stock market's sharpest gains on Monday, climbing over $6, or almost 10 percent, to $72 in composite New York Stock Exchange trade. Other oil company shares followed suit, with the Standard & Poor's Domestic Oil and Gas Index <.SPOILD> up 52.63 points, 7.2 percent, at 783.42. The broader S&P 500 Index was up 22.42 points, or 1.75 percent, at 1305.15. The sharp climb in oil stocks followed confirmation that BP Amoco is holding talks to buy ARCO, the nation's seventh largest oil company, in a stock deal worth about $25 billion. The takeover would be the latest in a string of deals which have reshaped the oil industry, culminating in last fall's colossal deal between Exxon Corp. <XON.N> and Mobil Corp. <MOB.N>, which is still under regulatory review. Industry analysts see further consolidation ahead, with companies such as Texaco Inc. <TX.N>, Chevron Corp. <CHV.N>, and Phillips Petroleum Co. <P.N> suddenly forced to join forces to remain competitive with so-called supermajors Exxon-Mobil, Royal Dutch Shell <RD.AS><SHEL.L>, and BP Amoco. Indeed, Texaco has been at the center of a whirlwind of rumors over recent months, including speculation that it's studying a takeover of Burlington Resources <BR.N>, the largest of the U.S. independent oil and gas producers. Texaco has also been rumored to be a possible partner for Chevron, the nation's third largest oil company. "This clearly shows the merger trend is not abating," said Gene Nowak, of ABN Amro Inc. "In fact, it is intensifying. We think Texaco and Chevron are very strong consolidation candidates," he added, but didn't rule out a Texaco deal with Royal Dutch/Shell, with which it already had a U.S. refining and marketing venture. Phillips Petroleum Co. also is being closely watched after its $8 billion North American refining and marketing deal with Ultramar Diamond Shamrock Corp. <UDS.N> fell apart earlier this month. Phillips may be attracted to Conoco Inc. <COC.N>, with which it also had failed talks about a deal, considering plans by parent DuPont Co. <DD.N> to sell its remaining 70 percent stake in the company. "What are you going to do now now if you are (Italian oil concern) ENI, Chevron, Texaco, and you can throw Phillips and Conoco in there, too." said Adam Sieminski, of BT Alex Brown. "It raises interesting questions about how you survive. These are large integrated international companies but they are so small compared to the three super majors," he said. The chief executives of Chevron, Texaco, Phillips and others have dismissed the idea that the companies need to merge to survive. But Sieminski said, "ARCO was saying the same thing and now it looks like they are going to the altar." Early Monday, Texaco shares were up $3 at $58.5625, Chevron was up $2.8125 at $89.625, Phillips was up 1.875 at $47.4375 on the New York Stock Exchange. Also, Burlington was trading $1.125 higher at $41.97, while Conoco was up 81.25 cents at $24.6875. ((Paul Thomasch, New York Energy Desk, 1 212 859-1889; fax 859-1629)) REUTERS |