Bankruptcy Predictor Model Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Bankruptcy Predictor Model

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To: Razorbak who wrote ()	3/30/1999 8:45:00 AM
From: Bob Rudd	Read Replies (2) of 477

What key indicators might indicate running a Co. thru the models? When Don asked about CPU, below, I recall they had a Debt/equity of about .56 and a big chunk of cash 4.40 per share on <$8 stock. This isn't one I'd want to spend time modeling. Any suggestions on at-a-glance ratio's or indicator levels that put co in danger zone? Just to get started here are some that are readily available [Except for bond yields]: Long-Term Debt/Equity >1.5 Current ratio < 1.5 Bond yields > 15% [Depends on bond market - This guesstimate reflects recent increase in risk premiums that are now shrinking] News of credit downgrades to well below investment grade [Moody's B or lower for example] Big share price sell off in conjunction with any of above The above are just quick guesstimates...please add or modify Bob

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