>I checked out a previous Stratfor article though before and they were suggesting that Serbs were in cahoots with Iraq to undermine the U.S. and NATO; found that one too far fetched<
Farfetched? Hardly;
wire.ap.org
MARCH 29, 17:39 EST
US Thinks Iraq Is Helping Yugoslavs
By JOHN DIAMOND
Associated Press Writer
WASHINGTON (AP) — Yugoslav defense specialists, expecting a war over Kosovo, met last month in Baghdad with Iraqi counterparts in what the Pentagon suspects was a collaboration between two U.S. enemies to prepare Yugoslavia to shoot down American war planes, government officials say.
U.S. intelligence agencies kept track of the Yugoslavs going to the meeting but could not get firsthand information about what went on, the officials said, speaking on condition of anonymity.
Nevertheless, Pentagon officials said the meeting's timing and personnel, a similarity in Iraqi and Yugoslav air defense tactics since NATO airstrikes began and separate intelligence about possible arms deals between the two countries all suggest Yugoslavia sought information on U.S. fighter jets and combat tactics.
The Baghdad meeting was described to The Associated Press by senior Clinton administration officials, Pentagon officials familiar with intelligence matters and congressional officials briefed on the matter. They spoke on condition of anonymity.
Pentagon spokesman Kenneth Bacon said Monday he could not comment on intelligence matters but said such contacts would not be surprising.
''These are two countries both subject to attack by forces within NATO, they both have primarily Soviet-built or purchased air defense systems, and they are both subject to international embargoes,'' Bacon said. ''So they might obviously look for ways to work together.''
Collaboration between Iraq and Yugoslavia predates the Kosovo crisis. Baghdad purchased some Soviet-made air defense equipment from Yugoslavia late in the Cold War. In addition, much of Iraq's military infrastructure was constructed by Yugoslav companies during the 1980s, including airfields and aircraft shelters, vast underground command centers and industrial plants used for defense production.
But February's two-day visit of a four-member Yugoslav air defense team to the Iraqi military headquarters in Baghdad drew the immediate attention of U.S. intelligence. President Clinton and key congressional leaders were quickly notified, the officials said.
Both Yugoslavia and Iraq are under international arms embargoes, and U.S. officials said they have intelligence indicating Yugoslavia was offering to trade military spare parts in exchange for Iraqi intelligence on U.S. air operations. Yugoslavia may also be seeking parts from Iraq.
''Each country has supplies or parts it would like to get from the other country,'' a senior Pentagon official said, speaking on condition of anonymity.
An official ''at a fairly high level'' in the Yugoslav military, and accompanying officers ''stayed a couple of days and met with a whole variety of people'' in Baghdad, including air defense specialists, the Pentagon official said.
At the time, Belgrade was resisting a diplomatic solution to the Kosovo crisis and bracing for threatened NATO airstrikes, and Iraq was challenging U.S. planes patrolling deny-flight zones over Iraq and coming under frequent retaliatory attacks.
U.S. officials said they suspect Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein's desire to help another U.S. adversary outweighed any concerns about Serb attacks in Kosovo against ethnic Albanians, who are mostly Muslim.
Iraq has had little success defending against U.S. and British airstrikes during the skirmishes since the end of the Gulf War. But Pentagon officials say Baghdad is in a position to share detailed information about the tactics, flight patterns and capabilities of U.S. warplanes, including:
—How high do U.S. warplanes fly during attack missions and what predictable patterns do they follow?
—How long does it take a U.S. fighter to react with a radar-seeking missile after an air defense battery directs its radar at the plane?
—How can military equipment be hidden from view?
—How can radar systems be tuned to detect, even fleetingly, an F-117 stealth fighter?
In the opening days of the NATO campaign over Yugoslavia, Serb forces largely held off firing from their scores of surface-to-air missile batteries, then gradually intensified their air defense fire, the same basic tactic seen recently in Iraq.
Yugoslav fighter tactics, however, have been more aggressive. NATO shot down five highly capable Russian-made MiG-29s in recent days. But there have been signs the Serb warplanes are also trying to draw NATO combat aircraft into SAM traps, much as Iraqi fighter planes tried in recent weeks.
Pentagon officials say Yugoslavia's air defense system is more capable and better manned than Iraq.
''The Serbs have been tutored by the Russians. Their air defense system has been upgraded more recently than the Iraqis. They have huge numbers of mobile missile launchers, and better terrain and weather for hiding. And we think their people are better trained,'' one Pentagon official said.
The downing of an F-117A stealth fighter Saturday has defense officials concerned that U.S. adversaries' knowledge of American air combat methods is improving, the officials said.
But the concern hasn't stopped the strikes on Yugoslavia. More F-117As took off Monday from Aviano Air Base, Italy.
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