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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 220.28-6.4%3:59 PM EST

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To: Jeffrey D who wrote (29343)4/1/1999 4:13:00 PM
From: Gottfried  Read Replies (2) of 70976
 
Jeffrey, re >>I do, however, feel they were more optimistic about the long term and less short term.<<

That's human nature. We should not let out guard down. The order
recovery this time could even be quite different from the last cycle.
It could stay flat for a few months, then go higher. Just guessing
here. The optimism in the room was probably due to the decent level
of the stock price, mainly. Nobody asked any hard questions.

>>My impression was the change was caused by DRAM, and DRAM'S violent cycles, becoming less of a driving force in the industry<<

Yes, he said PCs contain $400 of silicon and cars $230. Cell phones
$50. But does your average stock trader know that?

Gottfried
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