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Technology Stocks : PSFT - 1999: The "Make-It-or-Break-It" Year?
PSFT 0.00010000.0%Oct 29 5:00 PM EST

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To: David W. Ricker who wrote (429)4/5/1999 7:37:00 PM
From: Chuzzlewit  Read Replies (2) of 1274
 
David, I tend to agree with you. I don't think the world has come to an end, but what I do see is a convergence of two forces. First, there were a lot of sales for ERP software in anticipation of Y2K problems which provided an artificial boost. But companies who have not completed remediation by changing software are now involved in the tedious task of recoding and fixing things on a patchwork basis. This will probably end during the second quarter of 2000, so we will probably have a rough year going forward.

I do think you are making the mistake of confusing stock price with business performance. In my entire investing life I have never seen a market as myopic as this one. Michelle and others have warned that there would likely be a Y2K lockdown. Indeed, many analysts have said the same thing. So why has the reality come as such a shock to the market? My guess is that thinking is so short term because the market, particularly with respect to the e-tailers, is looking more and more like a bubble, and many investors are simply fearful of adopting a longer-term view. On the other hand, I too am fearful of putting money back into this company, but my fear is based more on what I believe to be management's dishonesty. I expected more from them.

TTFN,
CTC
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