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Strategies & Market Trends : Shorting stocks: Broken stocks - Analysis

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To: mortwald who wrote (2168)4/8/1999 1:19:00 PM
From: Q.  Read Replies (2) of 2506
 
mort, after the screen gives you 25 candidates, I would start looking at the stock at Yahoo, looking at the profile first to see what the co. does. You'll want to dismiss some stocks right away, for example a real estate investment trust showed up in the list a month ago.

Then I would look at the chart, and look at the news to see if there is anything there that explains the stock going down.

The I would go to the most recent 10Q or 10k and the DEF-14A at an Edgar site, and start looking.

The very best candidates have:

balance sheet:

little cash
large negative retained earnings
low shareholders equity
large funny assets, for example things that start with 'deferred'

cash flow statement:

negative cashflow

other:

a stock that is heading down
management turnover
severe competition with little to distinguish them from the competition
products that are becoming obsolete
an auditor's going concern qualification in the 10k
a history of financing by private placements using convertibles
troubles maintaining their stock listing
a string of bad news.

You don't often find a stock over $5 with all those problems, though, so you have to decide what is good enough.
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