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Non-Tech : AHL Services (AHLS)

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To: SteveG who wrote ()4/9/1999 3:45:00 AM
From: SteveG  Read Replies (1) of 9
 
CSFB maintains buy "First Quarter on Track"

Summary
We expect AHLS' first quarter results to be inline with our
forecast and the consensus estimate of $0.21 per share, with
possible upside of $0.01.

Contract staffing should be especially strong, driven by
solid results at Gage. We should also see profitability
improve in the security segment due to increased density from
the Unicco acquisition.

The recently announced PIMMS acquisition expands AHLS'
contract staffing business to on-site merchandising services
and increases earnings visibility.

The tight labor market remains a concern. However, AHLS
appears to be keeping overtime in check and maintaining high
employee retention.

We maintain our Buy recommendation and our 1999 estimate of $1.35.

Price Target Mkt.Value 52-Week
04/7/991 (12mo.) Div. Yield (MM) Price Range
21 $45 365.4 $42.75-17.50
Annual Prev. Abs. Rel. EV/ EBITDA/
EPS EPS P/E P/E EBITDA Share
12/00E $1.70 12.4X 38% 5.8 $4.21
12/99E 1.35 15.6 44% 7.2 3.67
12/98A 0.91 23.1 61% 16.9 2.43
March June Sept. Dec. FY End
1999E $0.21 $0.28 $0.44 $0.43 Dec. 31
1998A $0.13 $0.18 $0.30 $0.30


ROIC (12/99E) 11.3
Total Debt (12/99E) $115
Book Val/Share (12/99E) $12.63
WACC (12/99E) 12.2
Debt/Total Capital (12/99E) 34
Common Shares 17.4
EP Trend2 Up
Est. 5-Yr. EPS Growth 30
Est. 5-Yr. Div. Growth

1On 4/7/99 DJIA closed at 10085.3 and S&P Industrials at 1597.2
2Economic profit trend.

AHLS is a leading international provider of aviation security,
contract staffing, and other outsourcing services.
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