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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)
CSCO 72.46+0.2%3:19 PM EST

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To: Bindusagar Reddy who wrote (24309)4/11/1999 12:57:00 PM
From: Chuzzlewit  Read Replies (3) of 77397
 
Bindusager, valuation is a complex issue, but for starters let me simply point out that valuation is generally based on the present value of the stream of future cash flows discounted at an appropriate risk-adjusted rate. Your glib assertion that Dell is worth 36 BB today is simply that -- an assertion with no fact and based on an ill-defined model. Operating margins by themselves are unimportant. What is important is cash flow. Why are operating margins unimportant? Because they fail to take into account turnover. The combination of turnover and operating margin is vitally important, as that is the basis for gross profit.

Efficient deployment and management of assets is likewise extremely important, for it is capital requirements along with inventory and A/R controls that limit or allow for rapid business expansion. No other business (or at least a business that I know of has) this combination of plusses. Dell stands alone in these important metrics. It has a very high ROIC -- around 180% as I recall (compared to CSCO's very nice 62.3%). It has a very low cash conversion cycle of -8 days (yes, that is a minus!) compared to Cisco's mediocre 70 days.

So, I suggest you give a bit more thought before making pronouncements about this company.

TTFN,
CTC
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