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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 683.38+0.1%Nov 12 4:00 PM EST

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To: StockOperator who wrote (10549)4/12/1999 12:18:00 AM
From: Doug R  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
SO,

" I think to tilt the odds in your favor you have to take a look at the market from as many angles as possible."
I totally agree. I feel that leading indicators should have a bit more weighting though.

Also consider that money should flow into long term bonds tomorrow. Recently there's been a healthy move in bonds and the CPQ warning's short term effect on the flow of cash will help sustain that rally. 5.35% is a key area for support of continued higher stock prices and that level should be approached again this week. 5.65% is also a "ratchet" area as is 5.25% and obviously 5%. CPQ's woes are more history than anything else. The A/D line weakness and other past and present market internal levels are also more about history than the future. Long bond yields are more a reflection of future expectations. Looking forward is what markets are based on. Attention should be paid to interest rate movement over the next week or two for a solid clue to how "toppy" the market really is (or isn't).

Just to throw in my own 2 cents,
Doug R
PS, Projection for a pre-correction Dow top of 11,400 about 3 months from now is still in place. That's only a bit over 10% from here which isn't too unrealistic since we just saw the market can still do 3%+ in a week.
On another PS...from the past...the last 2 times the market opened with S&P futures lock limit down, the avgs. closed up for those days. 3 in a row would be implausible but...
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