PROFILE - SOUTH KOREA'S SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY (APRIL 1999)
Apr 13, 1999 (Asia Pulse via COMTEX) -- **********************************************
PROFILE OF S KOREA'S SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY PREPARED BY ASIA PULSE ANALYSTS (APRIL 1999)
********************************************** OVERVIEW: Most Korean semiconductor products are bound for foreign markets, but most of the domestic demand for such products are imports. The lack of a link between domestic demand and production characterizes the Korean industry.
The semiconductor industry is not expected to post any measurable rise in exports as was seen during the 1990s. Over the short-term, however, the industry is expected to get out of the recession and post steady growth until 2001. Thereafter, growth is expected to slow down because of a generational shift in PCs, the largest demand source for memory semiconductor chips.
Most users who bought a 486-class PC amid the boom for Internet and PC communications in 1995 are expected to turn to Pentium II PCs to keep up with the explosion in e-commerce and multimedia.
In memory chips, the industry boasts technology matching that of advanced countries but is behind in non-memory chips in terms of basic and design technologies.
INVESTMENTS: Intel Corp. will invest US$100 million in Samsung Electronics for the production of direct Rambus DRAM, touted as the next-generation memory chips expected to be used from the latter half of this year. The chip is about six times faster in transmission speed than the 100Mhz synchronous DRAM.
Intel, which also invested $500 million in Microne in connection with the production of Rambus DRAM, once initiated investment talks with Hyundai Electronics Industries and is also known to have made an investment proposal to Japan's NEC. The U.S. giant's investment initiatives are apparently designed to ensure a smooth supply of DRAM to prepare for looming signs of a semiconductor boom.
The supply of direct Rambus DRAM chips is expected to fall short of demand as DRAM producers have trimmed investments since 1996 due to a downturn in DRAM prices. The supply shortage involving the product is likely to hurt Intel's sales of Pentium III.
Intel's investment initiatives toward DRAM producers are apparently intended to enable the company to hold sway in computer markets by securing a smooth DRAM supply.
Whether or not Intel intends to establish a capital link with Hyundai Electronics is a matter of interest to the local industry because the latter is poised to acquire LG Semicon under business restructuring efforts to reduce heavy debts and bloated overlapping investments.
Hyundai Electronics needs to secure money needed to take over LG Semicon and to reduce its debt-to-equity ratio to below 200 percent by the end of this year. In addition, Hyundai also requires a lot of funds to finance R&D and facility investments.
LG Semicon is armed with technology sufficient to develop and produce direct Rambus DRAM chips. In early June last year, it became the first company in the world to successfullly develop and market the 64-M direct Rambus DRAM.
OUTLOOK: The future of the industry hinges on technological competitiveness for complex products like system IC rather than for memory chips or microprocessors.
The semiconductor market has been turning into a consumer-oriented one. In order to meet the diverse needs of customers, the industry must develop application technology covering circuit design, software and systems.
In the IMF era, investment in the semiconductor industry dropped sharply last year, but new investments have been edging up recently and are expected to peak during next year.
Since the life cycle of a semiconductor is about three years, the industry is required to replace its existing facilities.
In the non-memory sector, the industry needs experts for the development of core technology and design.
In the memory sector, Hyundai Electronics is expected to emerge as a major player along with Samsung Electronics after taking over LG Semicon.
(Sources: Korea Development Bank; Korea Electronics Ind. Coop.; Electronic Industries Association of Korea)
OUTLOOK FOR THE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY '97 '98 '99 2000 '01 '02 '03
------------------------------------------------------------ Production*18,923 25,510 27,010 29,030 34,150 36,810 39,140 Domestic 14,098 18,110 19,360 20,510 23,010 24,170 26,030 Demand* Exports 17, 424 16,740 18,870 21,230 25,640 27,310 28,590 World 12.1 12.5 12.1 12.4 14.1 15.1 15.8 Share ------------------------------------------------------------
* Billions of won Millions of U.S. dollars Pct. (Source: Electronic Industries Association of Korea)
CONTACTS: Electronics Industries Association of Korea 648, Yoksam-dong, Kangnam-gu, Seoul
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