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Technology Stocks : Modem Media . Poppe Tyson (Nasdaq: MMPT)

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To: puborectalis who wrote (667)4/14/1999 10:01:00 PM
From: EyeDrMike  Read Replies (2) of 821
 
BancBoston Robertson Stephens.

excerpt of 12 page report:

I N T E R N E T R E S E A R C H
MODEM MEDIA.POPPE TYSON
(MMPT $45)
Initiating Coverage of a Leading Interactive Marketing Agency
Keith E. Benjamin, CFA (415) 693-3285 keith_benjamin@rsco.com
Michael Graham (415) 693-3514 michael_graham@rsco.com
Rating: Buy
Change in . . . Yes/No Was Is
EPS 1998: $(0.38)
EPS 19998E: No $(0.32)
EPS 2000E: No $(0.05)
52-Week Range: 55-31
FD Shares Outstanding (MM): 13.0
Mkt Cap (MM): $585.0
Avg Daily Trading Vol (000): 122
12/98 Bk Value/Sh: $2.74
12/98 Tot Debt/Tot Cap: 30%
C1999E ROAE: NM
Price/Book Value: 16.4x
Net Cash/Sh: $0.60
Div/Yld: 0.0%
3-Yr Sec Growth Rate: 40%
FY December 1998 1999 E 2000 E
EPS: 1Q $(0.02) $(0.14) $(0.04)
2Q $(0.10) $(0.08) $(0.02)
3Q $(0.13) $(0.06) $(0.01)
4Q $(0.14) $(0.05) $0.01
Year $(0.38) $(0.32) $(0.05)
P/E — NM NM
Revs (MM): 1998 1999 E 2000 E
1Q $9.0 $10.5 $15.5
2Q $10.5 $12.5 $16.5
3Q $10.9 $14.5 $18.0
4Q $12.1 $15.8 $20.0
Year $42.5 $53.5 $70.0
Eqty Mkt Vl/Rev. — 10.9x 8.4x
· Modem Media.Poppe Tyson (MMPT)
is a leading interactive marketing
agency developing on-line business
strategies for leading international
brands.
· Services include designing Web sites,
developing Internet marketing cam-paigns,
and implementing strategies
for e-commerce transactions.
· MMPT's strategy is to provide deep
service and partnership to a focused
number of clients, rather than a few
services to many clients.
· We believe this focused strategy
matches the biggest opportunity, as
leading brands are expected to spend
a disproportionate share of the
advertising and direct marketing
dollars on the Web.
· The current revenue model is
service/consulting revenue based on
cost plus profit and fees for executing
on-line media buys that approximate
15% of the spending on a project. A
smaller portion could come from
performance-based lead generation
fees, none of which are in our
estimates.
· We view any performance-based pay
as mostly incremental to our esti-mates.
We believe this enhanced
service model can be successful and
would facilitate faster revenue growth
at higher margins.
· We believe revenues will grow 30%
per year and EPS much faster. We
believe our estimates are conservative
and that EPS before amortization in
2002 could be $0.50-1.00 or higher.
April 12, 1999
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